A Minecraft Film Field Workplace Hovering to $150 Million Opening Weekend

How’s this for some surprising excellent news? Warner Bros./Legendary’s “A Minecraft Film” has exploded previous even essentially the most optimistic of expectations and is now projected by business estimates to earn a $156 million home opening weekend from 4,263 areas.
That is the form of opening that may utterly change the trajectory of the theatrical market, particularly after a March during which general home totals crashed beneath $400 million. If “Minecraft” had been launched in March, this outcome would stand because the third highest opening ever in that month behind solely the 2017 “Magnificence and the Beast” remake and “Batman v Superman: Daybreak of Justice.”
And for Warner Bros., this outcome makes “Minecraft” solely the sixth film in studio historical past to clear $150 million. Chalk it up as one other win within the studio’s fruitful partnership with Legendary Photos, which additionally produces “Godzilla x Kong” and the “Dune” movies.
Previous to launch, monitoring had “Minecraft” making $70 million-plus in its opening, and within the closing days earlier than launch, these projections rose to $100 million-plus. However no tracker or exhibitor anticipated this “Tremendous Mario Bros. Film”-level turnout from households and players, exhibiting simply how a lot cultural cache the sandbox survival sport and digital artistic playground has constructed because it was first launched in 2009.
The longer term for this movie can also be simply as unpredictable, because the movie earned a B+ on CinemaScore together with a 65% “particular suggest” ranking on PostTrak and an 86% viewers rating on Rotten Tomatoes. A B+ for a household movie is often a warning signal, and the PostTrak and RT scores are optimistic however decrease than what “Mario” obtained two years in the past.
Nevertheless, “Minecraft” nonetheless has two weeks of college break play till Easter Sunday, and its solely household movie competitors between now and Disney’s “Lilo & Sew” remake in late Could is Angel Studios’ Christian animated movie “The King of Kings.” It’s tough to say at this level whether or not there are sufficient “Minecraft” followers and children prepared to tug their dad and mom out to get this movie to the degrees reached by “Tremendous Mario Bros.” or if this will likely be a extra frontloaded movie like “5 Nights at Freddy’s.”
However even within the latter state of affairs, the movie ought to nonetheless present theaters with the pre-summer tentpole assist it has been desperately needing for weeks. In order for you a way of how a lot this adjustments issues for the field workplace, general weekend totals are at present estimated at $197 million, making this one of the best weekend of 2025 up to now and solely the second of the yr to prime $100 million alongside Valentine’s/Presidents Day weekend when “Captain America: Courageous New World” was launched.
By the tip of Q1 this previous Monday, the 2025 home field workplace was down 12.5% from the earlier yr. If this outcome for “Minecraft” holds, the deficit will drop right down to round 6%. Given the quantity of movies set within the subsequent couple of weeks, together with “Sinners,” “Drop,” and “The Accountant 2,” anticipate that deficit to maintain dropping.