![Kamala Harris striding toward an open car door](https://i0.wp.com/cdn.theatlantic.com/thumbor/bjsbktRKaiDG04akilZTTAd2PHc=/2187x0:5000x2813/80x80/media/img/mt/2024/07/h_16233573_1/original.jpg?resize=80%2C80&ssl=1)
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When President Joe Biden ended his reelection marketing campaign and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris to switch him on the Democratic ticket, Donald Trump’s marketing campaign noticed a risk. The Republican Nationwide Committee proposed suing to drive Biden to run. Stephen Miller whined on Fox Information about how imply the Democrats are being. Trump himself posted a rant to Fact Social claiming that Biden didn’t actually imply to drop out of the race.
Trump’s marketing campaign understands that the basics of the race have shifted: Now Trump is the previous man on this race, the oldest nominee in historical past. His marketing campaign goes to spend thousands and thousands of {dollars} within the coming weeks to tar Harris as a San Francisco progressive. To win, she wants to supply a compelling counternarrative.
I maintain focus teams with voters each week, and their impressions of the vice chairman have been remarkably constant over the previous three years: They don’t see her. They don’t really feel like they know her. They don’t have a transparent impression of who she is or what she stands for.
The truth that folks really feel like they don’t know Harris but is clearly a problem, however it might turn out to be her biggest asset. She has a possibility to reintroduce herself to thousands and thousands of voters. That is essential, as a result of public opinion is like concrete: It’s malleable at first, after which it hardens. If Harris desires to win over persuadable voters, she must outline herself earlier than Trump does.
Thus far, Harris’s anonymity and invisibility have been liabilities. Voters marvel why, if she’s been Biden’s proper hand for 3 and a half years, they haven’t seen her accomplish something. Voters’ frustration at her perceived lack of substance has been a constant theme for years.
Within the fall of 2022, a Clinton-Biden voter from Nevada who was contemplating backing Trump stated throughout a spotlight group, “She does nothing. She’s plugging in an electrical automotive on the information immediately. And that was it. I’m like, ‘Do one thing, lady!’”
A 12 months later, a Trump-to-Biden voter stated: “After the election, she vanished, so I can’t put my belief within the invisible lady.”
This previous Could, a Trump-to-Biden voter stated: “She disappears after which she’s at colleges speaking to children and studying. I imply, that’s very good, however … it doesn’t pay the payments.”
In focus teams organized after Biden withdrew from the race and endorsed Harris, voters have continued to sound these themes.
“I don’t know what she’s achieved, at the same time as a sitting vice chairman,” stated Drew, a Trump-to-Biden voter from Michigan. “She’s simply within the background proper now; she’s the backup; she’s on the bench, primarily.”
He went on: “Now’s her time to shine. She will get a beginning position. So I’ve bought to see what she does.”
“Presently, for me, she’s working for my vote. She doesn’t have my vote but, as a result of I don’t know sufficient about her but. So I’m listening to her,” stated Dennis, one other Trump-to-Biden voter from Pennsylvania. “She’s nonetheless making use of for the job.”
Regardless of these destructive perceptions, Harris nonetheless has time to make use of voters’ uncertainty about her to her benefit. Biden was the proper Democrat in 2020 as a result of the most important coalition in American politics—the anti-Trump coalition—might pin its hopes and goals on him as an appropriate various. Now Harris hopes to perform the identical factor.
To succeed, she has to border her candidacy round Trump’s vulnerabilities. And she or he has to forged herself as a reliable various. This advert from 2020 during which she pitches herself as “the anti-Trump” strikes the suitable tone. It ought to be the mannequin going ahead.
Time is of the essence, so simplicity is essential. Harris doesn’t have lengthy for folks to get to know her, so her finest shot is to choose a number of clear, fashionable contrasts with Trump and make these the defining factors of her candidacy.
One instantly apparent alternative is prosecutor versus felon. The Trump marketing campaign reportedly plans to assault Harris as being tender on crime. She will be able to parry by leaning into a brand new iteration of herself as Kamala the prosecutor.
The opposite key distinction is previous versus younger. At 78, Trump is a era older than Harris, who’s 59. Together with his rambling speeches, Hannibal Lecter invocations, mispronunciations, and total look, Trump now seems each bit the unfit previous man he accused Biden of being.
The Trump marketing campaign needed to make this election about age, and it succeeded. Now that’s the body Trump himself has to reside with.
The important thing level is that this work has to occur now. Harris’s speech in Milwaukee—her first because the presumptive nominee—was a robust begin. If she will repeat that message time and again to tens of thousands and thousands of voters on TV, radio, and social media over the subsequent few weeks, she has an actual shot at profitable.